Articles About Machine Learning

Random Forest for Time Series Forecasting

Random Forest is a popular and effective ensemble machine learning algorithm. It is widely used for classification and regression predictive modeling problems with structured (tabular) data sets, e.g. data as it looks in a spreadsheet or database table. Random Forest can also be used for time series forecasting, although it requires that the time series dataset be transformed into a supervised learning problem first. It also requires the use of a specialized technique for evaluating the model called walk-forward validation, […]

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Curve Fitting With Python

Curve fitting is a type of optimization that finds an optimal set of parameters for a defined function that best fits a given set of observations. Unlike supervised learning, curve fitting requires that you define the function that maps examples of inputs to outputs. The mapping function, also called the basis function can have any form you like, including a straight line (linear regression), a curved line (polynomial regression), and much more. This provides the flexibility and control to define […]

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Stochastic Hill Climbing in Python from Scratch

Stochastic Hill climbing is an optimization algorithm. It makes use of randomness as part of the search process. This makes the algorithm appropriate for nonlinear objective functions where other local search algorithms do not operate well. It is also a local search algorithm, meaning that it modifies a single solution and searches the relatively local area of the search space until the local optima is located. This means that it is appropriate on unimodal optimization problems or for use after […]

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Develop an Intuition for How Ensemble Learning Works

Ensembles are a machine learning method that combine the predictions from multiple models in an effort to achieve better predictive performance. There are many different types of ensembles, although all approaches have two key properties: they require that the contributing models are different so that they make different errors and they combine the predictions in an attempt to harness what each different model does well. Nevertheless, it is not clear how ensembles manage to achieve this, especially in the context […]

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How to Identify Overfitting Machine Learning Models in Scikit-Learn

Last Updated on November 27, 2020 Overfitting is a common explanation for the poor performance of a predictive model. An analysis of learning dynamics can help to identify whether a model has overfit the training dataset and may suggest an alternate configuration to use that could result in better predictive performance. Performing an analysis of learning dynamics is straightforward for algorithms that learn incrementally, like neural networks, but it is less clear how we might perform the same analysis with […]

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Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) in Python

Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines, or MARS, is an algorithm for complex non-linear regression problems. The algorithm involves finding a set of simple linear functions that in aggregate result in the best predictive performance. In this way, MARS is a type of ensemble of simple linear functions and can achieve good performance on challenging regression problems with many input variables and complex non-linear relationships. In this tutorial, you will discover how to develop Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline models in Python. After […]

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Develop a Bagging Ensemble with Different Data Transformations

Bootstrap aggregation, or bagging, is an ensemble where each model is trained on a different sample of the training dataset. The idea of bagging can be generalized to other techniques for changing the training dataset and fitting the same model on each changed version of the data. One approach is to use data transforms that change the scale and probability distribution of input variables as the basis for the training of contributing members to a bagging-like ensemble. We can refer […]

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How to Develop a Feature Selection Subspace Ensemble in Python

Random subspace ensembles consist of the same model fit on different randomly selected groups of input features (columns) in the training dataset. There are many ways to choose groups of features in the training dataset, and feature selection is a popular class of data preparation techniques designed specifically for this purpose. The features selected by different configurations of the same feature selection method and different feature selection methods entirely can be used as the basis for ensemble learning. In this […]

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A Gentle Introduction to PyCaret for Machine Learning

PyCaret is a Python open source machine learning library designed to make performing standard tasks in a machine learning project easy. It is a Python version of the Caret machine learning package in R, popular because it allows models to be evaluated, compared, and tuned on a given dataset with just a few lines of code. The PyCaret library provides these features, allowing the machine learning practitioner in Python to spot check a suite of standard machine learning algorithms on […]

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Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Ensemble in Python

Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) is an open-source library that provides an efficient and effective implementation of the gradient boosting algorithm. Although other open-source implementations of the approach existed before XGBoost, the release of XGBoost appeared to unleash the power of the technique and made the applied machine learning community take notice of gradient boosting more generally. Shortly after its development and initial release, XGBoost became the go-to method and often the key component in winning solutions for classification and regression […]

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